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Training Science15 min read

Build the Perfect Running Plan Based on Your Goal Pace

Most running plans prescribe generic workouts. Learn how to build a goal-pace training plan where every workout prepares you for your exact race-day target.

TrainingDojo Team

You have a goal: run a sub-4:00 marathon. Or maybe it's a sub-50 10K. You know your target finish time, but here's the problem—most training plans don't start with your goal pace. They prescribe generic workouts ("8 miles easy," "6x800m intervals") without connecting them to the specific pace you need on race day.

After running 12 marathons and coaching dozens of runners to PRs, I've learned this: the best training plans work backwards from your goal pace, then build every workout to prepare you for that exact demand. Here's how to build your perfect running plan using goal-pace methodology.

Why Most Running Plans Fail: The Generic Workout Problem

The Traditional Approach (Flawed)

Most training plans prescribe workouts like this:

  • "Run 6 miles at easy pace"
  • "Do 10x400m at 5K pace"
  • "Long run: 18 miles"
  • "Tempo run: 40 minutes at comfortably hard effort"

The problem: These workouts aren't calibrated to YOUR goal. "Easy pace" for a 3:00 marathoner (6:50/mile) is completely different than for a 5:00 marathoner (11:30/mile). "5K pace" assumes you know your 5K capability, which many marathoners don't.

The Goal-Pace Approach (Effective)

Goal-pace training starts with your race goal and reverse-engineers everything:

  1. Define goal pace: "I want to run 3:30 marathon = 8:00/mile average"
  2. Calculate training zones FROM goal pace: Easy pace, tempo pace, interval pace
  3. Prescribe workouts that prepare you for that exact pace: Race-pace long runs, goal-pace tempo work
  4. Track progress toward goal: Can you hold 8:00/mile for 10 miles? 13 miles? 20 miles?

Result: Every workout has a clear purpose tied directly to your race-day target.

Step 1: Set a Realistic, Time-Based Goal

How to Choose Your Goal Time

For first-time distance runners:

  • Use a race predictor calculator based on recent shorter race
  • Example: Ran 10K in 50:00 → Marathon predictor suggests 3:50-4:00
  • Add 5-10% for first attempt (4:00-4:15 is realistic goal)

For experienced runners chasing PR:

  • Take current PR and subtract 2-5% as improvement goal
  • Example: Current marathon PR 3:45 → New goal 3:35-3:40
  • Requires 12-16 week dedicated training block

For "just finish" goals:

  • Research average finish times for your age/gender
  • Set conservative goal that prioritizes completion over speed
  • Example: First marathon goal 4:30-5:00 (10:15-11:30/mile pace)

Common Race Goals and Paces

5K Goals:

20:00 5K = 6:26/mile pace
25:00 5K = 8:03/mile pace
30:00 5K = 9:39/mile pace
35:00 5K = 11:16/mile pace

10K Goals:

40:00 10K = 6:26/mile pace
50:00 10K = 8:03/mile pace
60:00 10K = 9:39/mile pace
70:00 10K = 11:16/mile pace

Half Marathon Goals:

1:30:00 Half = 6:52/mile pace
1:45:00 Half = 8:01/mile pace
2:00:00 Half = 9:09/mile pace
2:15:00 Half = 10:18/mile pace

Marathon Goals:

3:00:00 Marathon = 6:52/mile pace (BQ for many)
3:30:00 Marathon = 8:00/mile pace
4:00:00 Marathon = 9:09/mile pace
4:30:00 Marathon = 10:18/mile pace
5:00:00 Marathon = 11:27/mile pace

Step 2: Calculate Your Training Zones from Goal Pace

The Jack Daniels VDOT Method

The most accurate way to set training paces is using VDOT methodology. Your goal race time determines your VDOT score, which then prescribes all training paces.

Example: 3:30 Marathon Goal (8:00/mile pace)

VDOT ≈ 47

Training paces for VDOT 47:

Easy pace (E): 9:03-9:46/mile (recovery runs, long run base)
Marathon pace (M): 8:00/mile (goal race pace)
Threshold pace (T): 7:26/mile (tempo runs, lactate threshold work)
Interval pace (I): 6:56/mile (VO2max intervals, 3-5min efforts)
Repetition pace (R): 6:28/mile (short, fast reps, 200-400m)

Simplified Training Zones (Without VDOT Lookup)

If you don't have VDOT tables, use these formulas based on goal marathon pace:

Easy Pace (E): Goal Marathon Pace + 1:00-2:00/mile
Marathon Pace (M): Goal Race Pace (exact)
Threshold Pace (T): Goal Marathon Pace - 0:30-0:40/mile
Interval Pace (I): Goal Marathon Pace - 1:00-1:15/mile
Repetition Pace (R): Goal Marathon Pace - 1:30-2:00/mile

Example: 4:00 Marathon Goal (9:09/mile pace)

Easy Pace: 10:09-11:09/mile
Marathon Pace: 9:09/mile
Threshold Pace: 8:29-8:39/mile
Interval Pace: 7:54-8:09/mile
Repetition Pace: 7:09-7:39/mile

Step 3: Structure Your Training Plan by Phase

Base Phase (8-12 Weeks): Build Aerobic Foundation

Goal: Develop endurance to handle race distance at easy pace

Weekly structure:

Monday: Rest or cross-training
Tuesday: Easy run 4-6 miles @ Easy Pace
Wednesday: Easy run 5-7 miles @ Easy Pace
Thursday: Easy run 4-6 miles @ Easy Pace
Friday: Rest or easy 3-4 miles
Saturday: Long run (build from 8 to 16 miles) @ Easy Pace
Sunday: Easy run 4-6 miles or rest

Weekly mileage: Build from 20 to 40 miles over 8-12 weeks
Pace: 90% at Easy Pace, 10% at Marathon Pace (final miles of long run)

Key workouts:

  • Progressive long runs: Start at Easy Pace, finish last 2-3 miles at Marathon Pace
  • Example (Week 8): 14-mile long run = 11 miles Easy + 3 miles @ Marathon Pace

Build Phase (6-8 Weeks): Add Race-Specific Intensity

Goal: Train your body to hold goal pace for extended duration

Weekly structure:

Monday: Rest or cross-training
Tuesday: Tempo run or threshold workout @ Threshold Pace
Wednesday: Easy run 5-7 miles @ Easy Pace
Thursday: Interval workout @ Interval Pace or Marathon Pace repeats
Friday: Rest or easy 3-4 miles
Saturday: Long run with Marathon Pace segments
Sunday: Easy recovery run 4-6 miles

Weekly mileage: Maintain 35-45 miles
Pace distribution: 75% Easy, 15% Marathon/Threshold, 10% Interval

Key workouts:

Tuesday - Tempo/Threshold:

Week 1-2: 2 miles @ Threshold Pace
Week 3-4: 3 miles @ Threshold Pace
Week 5-6: 4 miles @ Threshold Pace
Week 7-8: 5 miles @ Threshold Pace

Thursday - Marathon Pace Repeats:

Week 1: 4x1 mile @ Marathon Pace (2min jog recovery)
Week 2: 3x2 miles @ Marathon Pace (3min jog recovery)
Week 3: 2x3 miles @ Marathon Pace (4min jog recovery)
Week 4: 6 miles continuous @ Marathon Pace

Saturday - Long Run with Marathon Pace:

Week 1: 16 miles (last 4 @ Marathon Pace)
Week 2: 18 miles (last 6 @ Marathon Pace)
Week 3: 20 miles (last 8 @ Marathon Pace)
Week 4: 14 miles recovery (all Easy Pace)

Peak Phase (2-3 Weeks): Taper and Sharpen

Goal: Maintain fitness while shedding fatigue

Weekly structure:

Week -3 (3 weeks before race):
- Mileage: 75% of peak (30 miles if peak was 40)
- Last long run: 12-14 miles with 6-8 @ Marathon Pace
- One threshold workout: 3 miles @ Threshold Pace
- Rest: All easy runs

Week -2 (2 weeks before race):
- Mileage: 50% of peak (20 miles)
- Long run: 10 miles with last 4 @ Marathon Pace
- One interval workout: 6x800m @ Interval Pace
- Rest: Very easy, short runs

Week -1 (Race week):
- Mileage: 30% of peak (12 miles)
- No runs longer than 6 miles
- One shakeout: 3 miles with 3x1min @ Marathon Pace
- Rest: 2 days complete rest before race

Sample 16-Week Marathon Training Plan (3:30 Goal)

Goal Marathon Pace: 8:00/mile

Training Paces:

Easy: 9:15-10:00/mile
Marathon: 8:00/mile
Threshold: 7:26/mile
Interval: 6:56/mile

Base Phase (Weeks 1-8)

Week 1: 25 miles total
- Tue: 5 mi Easy
- Wed: 6 mi Easy
- Thu: 5 mi Easy
- Sat: 9 mi Easy
- Sun: Optional 3-4 mi recovery

Week 4: 32 miles total
- Tue: 6 mi Easy
- Wed: 7 mi Easy
- Thu: 6 mi Easy
- Sat: 12 mi (10 Easy + 2 @ Marathon Pace)
- Sun: 4 mi recovery

Week 8: 40 miles total (peak base)
- Tue: 7 mi Easy
- Wed: 8 mi Easy
- Thu: 7 mi Easy
- Sat: 16 mi (13 Easy + 3 @ Marathon Pace)
- Sun: 5 mi recovery

Build Phase (Weeks 9-14)

Week 9:
- Tue: 2 mi warmup + 3 mi @ Threshold (7:26) + 1 mi cooldown
- Wed: 6 mi Easy
- Thu: 2 mi warmup + 4x1 mi @ Marathon Pace (2min jog) + 1 mi cooldown
- Sat: 16 mi (12 Easy + 4 @ Marathon Pace)
- Sun: 5 mi Easy

Week 12:
- Tue: 2 mi warmup + 5 mi @ Threshold (7:26) + 1 mi cooldown
- Wed: 7 mi Easy
- Thu: 2 mi warmup + 6 mi @ Marathon Pace (8:00) + 1 mi cooldown
- Sat: 20 mi (12 Easy + 8 @ Marathon Pace)
- Sun: 6 mi Easy

Week 14 (Recovery):
- Tue: 2 mi warmup + 3 mi @ Threshold + 1 mi cooldown
- Wed: 6 mi Easy
- Thu: 5 mi Easy
- Sat: 12 mi all Easy
- Sun: 4 mi Easy

Peak/Taper Phase (Weeks 15-16)

Week 15:
- Tue: 2 mi warmup + 3 mi @ Threshold + 1 mi cooldown
- Wed: 5 mi Easy
- Thu: 2 mi warmup + 6x800m @ 6:56 (90sec jog) + 1 mi cooldown
- Sat: 10 mi (6 Easy + 4 @ Marathon Pace)
- Sun: 4 mi Easy
Total: 25 miles

Week 16 (Race Week):
- Mon: Rest
- Tue: 4 mi Easy
- Wed: 3 mi with 3x1min @ Marathon Pace
- Thu: Rest
- Fri: 2 mi Easy shakeout
- Sat: Rest
- Sun: RACE DAY - 26.2 miles @ 8:00/mile goal!
Total: 9 miles + race

Goal-Pace Workouts by Race Distance

5K Training (8-Week Plan)

Key workouts for 5K:

Interval Workout (Tuesday):
Week 1: 6x400m @ Interval Pace (90sec rest)
Week 4: 5x800m @ Interval Pace (2min rest)
Week 7: 3x1 mile @ Threshold Pace (2min rest)

Tempo Workout (Thursday):
Week 1: 2 miles @ Threshold Pace
Week 4: 3 miles @ Threshold Pace
Week 7: 4 miles @ Threshold Pace

Long Run (Saturday):
Week 1: 6 miles Easy
Week 4: 8 miles Easy
Week 7: 6 miles Easy (taper)

Half Marathon Training (12-Week Plan)

Key workouts for Half Marathon:

Tempo Workout (Tuesday):
Week 1-3: 3 miles @ Threshold Pace
Week 4-6: 4 miles @ Threshold Pace
Week 7-9: 5 miles @ Threshold Pace
Week 10-11: 6 miles @ Half Marathon Goal Pace

Half Marathon Pace Workout (Thursday):
Week 1: 3x2 miles @ Half Marathon Pace (3min jog)
Week 4: 2x4 miles @ Half Marathon Pace (4min jog)
Week 7: 8 miles @ Half Marathon Pace
Week 10: 6 miles @ Half Marathon Pace (taper)

Long Run (Saturday):
Week 1: 8 miles Easy
Week 4: 11 miles (last 3 @ Half Marathon Pace)
Week 7: 13 miles (last 5 @ Half Marathon Pace)
Week 10: 10 miles Easy (taper)

How to Track Progress Toward Goal Pace

Weekly Benchmarks

Question to ask: "Can I hold goal pace for X distance?"

Marathon Training Progression:

Week 4: Can you run 2 miles @ Marathon Pace?
Week 8: Can you run 5 miles @ Marathon Pace?
Week 12: Can you run 10 miles @ Marathon Pace?
Week 14: Can you run 13 miles @ Marathon Pace?

If NO at any point: Goal pace may be too aggressive, adjust 5-10 sec/mile slower

Half Marathon Training Progression:

Week 3: Can you run 3 miles @ Half Marathon Pace?
Week 6: Can you run 6 miles @ Half Marathon Pace?
Week 9: Can you run 10 miles @ Half Marathon Pace?

If NO: Adjust goal pace 5-10 sec/mile slower

Monthly FTP-Style Tests

Threshold Pace Test (Every 4 Weeks):

  1. Warmup: 2 miles easy
  2. Test: 20 minutes at maximum sustainable effort
  3. Record average pace for 20 minutes
  4. This is your current Threshold Pace

What it tells you:

  • If Threshold Pace is improving → Training is working, stay on plan
  • If Threshold Pace plateaus → May need more intensity or recovery
  • If Threshold Pace regresses → Overtraining or insufficient recovery

Common Mistakes in Goal-Pace Training

Mistake #1: Running Easy Days Too Fast

Problem: "My marathon pace is 8:00/mile, so I run 8:30/mile on easy days"
Why it fails: Easy pace should be 9:00-10:00/mile—you're not recovering
Fix: Easy days are 1:00-2:00/mile SLOWER than goal pace, no exceptions

Mistake #2: Running Marathon Pace Workouts Too Early

Problem: Week 1 of training, attempting 10-mile marathon pace run
Why it fails: You haven't built the aerobic base to sustain it
Fix: Start with 2-3 miles @ goal pace, build to 8-10 miles over 12 weeks

Mistake #3: Ignoring Tempo/Threshold Work

Problem: Only running easy miles and marathon pace, no faster work
Why it fails: Marathon pace feels hard because you never run faster
Fix: Include 1 tempo workout per week at Threshold Pace (faster than goal race pace)

Mistake #4: Unrealistic Goal Pace

Problem: Setting 3:00 marathon goal when current fitness is 3:45
Why it fails: Can't complete goal-pace workouts, constant failure, burnout
Fix: Set stretch goal 5-10% faster than current fitness, not 20%

Mistake #5: Not Adjusting When Falling Behind

Problem: Week 10, can't complete 8 miles @ goal pace, keep trying same pace
Why it fails: Repeatedly failing workouts destroys confidence and fitness
Fix: Adjust goal pace 5-10 sec/mile slower if consistently unable to hit targets

Using AI to Build Your Goal-Pace Plan

Building a goal-pace training plan manually takes hours of calculation and planning. AI streamlines this:

What to Tell AI:

  • "I want to run a 3:30 marathon (8:00/mile pace)"
  • "I have 16 weeks to train"
  • "I can run 5 days per week, 30-40 miles total"
  • "My current long run is 10 miles, current weekly mileage is 20 miles"

What AI Generates:

  • All training paces calculated from goal (Easy, Marathon, Threshold, Interval)
  • Progressive weekly plan building from your current fitness to goal
  • Specific marathon-pace workouts that increase duration over time
  • Proper taper leading into race day
  • Adjustments if you report workouts are too hard/easy

With TrainingDojo, you simply input your goal time and available training hours—the AI builds a complete goal-pace plan optimized for your target.

The Bottom Line: Train the Pace You'll Race

Generic training plans treat all runners the same. Goal-pace methodology treats every runner as unique:

  • Your goal pace determines ALL your training paces
  • Every workout has clear purpose: prepare you to hold goal pace on race day
  • Progress is measurable: can you hold goal pace for longer distances each week?
  • Adjustments are data-driven: if you can't hit goal pace, adjust or extend training

The fastest way to your goal finish time isn't random workouts—it's systematic preparation for the exact pace you need to hold for the exact distance you're racing.

Ready to build your goal-pace plan? Use TrainingDojo to generate a running plan calibrated to your specific goal time. Input your target finish, get a complete training plan with every workout prescribed in exact paces. No guessing—just train the pace you'll race.

Ready to Build Your Training Plan?

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Build the Perfect Running Plan Based on Your Goal Pace | TrainingDojo